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    13
    Nov
    2012
    3:47pm, EST

    What the heck is the fiscal cliff? We have answers

    msnbc.com

    John Schoen will answer your questions about the fiscal cliff.

    Stop! Wait! No! It's a "fiscal cliff," and the country is in danger of driving over it.

    Yes, the term "fiscal cliff" has been in the news a lot lately, and you can be forgiven if you don't entirely know what it means. For starters, what's up with the name?

    New York Magazine posted their own tongue-in-cheek Q&A to help clear up the confusion. It's called, "The Absolute Moron’s Guide to the Fiscal Cliff."

    "Q: So, first things first: What is a “physical cliff”? 

    A: It’s fiscal. As in, relating to government finances."

    Ahh, that makes a lot more sense. Now why again is it such a big deal?

    Fear not, this Wednesday from 12-1 p.m., economic reporter John Schoen will host a live chat to help explain it all. No matter how dumb you think your questions are, John will answer them. 

    For homework, you may want to read these stories:

    • Congressional deal on 'fiscal cliff' would water down deficit reduction 
    • The biggest obstacle to tax reform? You are 
    • Obama victory clouded by looming fiscal battle with Congress 

    10 comments

    Spluh! It's a magic number created to limit the amount of fake money we can borrow from central bankers we pay to create it out of thin air for us.

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  • 22
    Feb
    2012
    12:34pm, EST

    John Schoen offers tips on housing, rates

    TODAY Money expert and msnbc.com senior writer John Schoen joined us for a live web chat Wednesday to talk about the housing market.

    Here is John's answer to one of the questions in the chat and a complete archive:

    One chat guest asked:

    “Good morning John. I am going through a divorce right now and getting ready to refinance the home in my name only. Are there any tips you might recommend or things to watch out for? I am working directly with a mortgage broker because there are so many moving parts.”

    John replied:

    “I would be more concerned with how the refinance will affect your divorce settlement than with getting the best rate or mortgage terms. That’s the limit of the broker’s expertise. They’re not equipped to give advice on the laws governing marital property, which are different in each state. So I would rely on my attorney for advice about how to refinance and let the broker stick to getting you the best terms.”

    If you have a question for our TODAY Money experts, submit it here.

    To sign up for an e-mail reminder for our next chat, click here.

    1 comment

    Mortgage rates are historically low you can easily refinance these days your mortgage to 3%. It is the best way to save money. Search online for 123 Refinance they did 3.54% refinance and free analysis of my current mortgage. Learnt the refi secrets there.

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  • 20
    Jun
    2011
    6:59pm, EDT

    John Schoen answers questions about gloomy outlook on economy

    TODAY Money writer John Schoen joined us for a live Web chat Friday afternoon about the state of the economy.

    "The mood appears to be worsening, leading to a concern among economists and others of a self-fulfilling prophecy -- that worried consumers will slow spending, further hampering the recovery and perhaps raising the risk of a double-dip recession or at least yielding years of sluggish growth," John wrote in the intro of the chat. Read John's full article on the subject here: http://on.today.com/kcdptM

    Here are two questions from his chat and the complete archive:

    Barbara H.'s question:
    It does seem to me that the quickest way to get the economy going again is to have a strong housing market. That seems very problematic at this time.

    John's answer:
    Housing is definitely a major roadblock. Since the 1930s, we haven't had an economic recovery without a housing revival. The problem is that the process of mortgage defaults and foreclosures is playing out in slow motion - until the large supply of foreclosed homes comes down, housing will remain stuck in recession. If we could figure out how to prevent those defaults and keep people in their homes, we could speed up that process.

    Jacky Lai's question:
    If the economy is not productive and if people do not have enough money in hands, what is the next step and solution?

    John's answer:
    The economy is growing - it's just not growing fast enough.

    It's worth taking a minute to drill down on the word "recession." Many readers use the word loosely to describe a lousy economy - jobs are hard to get, house prices are falling, wages aren't rising. That's fine. But we use it more narrowly - if the economy is expanding quarter after quarter, that's not a recession. (The economy is not "receding.") Today we have both of those conditions - very slow growth that's not coming fast enough and can't put enough people back to work nor get the housing market off the bottom.

    It's also important to recognize that the U.S. economy is a $15 trillion machine with a lot of moving parts. Some of those - like housing - are still in a deep recession. Many small businesses are still seeing business dry up. So when growth is this weak, parts of the economy - or regions of the country - can be in recession even though the entire economy is moving ahead slowly.

    Complete archive:

    If you have a question for our TODAY Money experts, click here.

    To sign up for an e-mail reminder for our next chat, click here.

    Comment

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  • 4
    Feb
    2011
    4:44pm, EST

    John Schoen: Why a McDonald's job often beats jobless benefits

    TODAY Money expert and msnbc.com senior writer John Schoen chatted live with TODAYshow.com readers on Monday afternoon about this morning's jobs report and employment prospects.

    Here are two of his answers and a complete archive.

    Question from Jordan:
    I am 16 and from Michigan. I would like some ideas on what someone my age should do for making money.

    Answer from John:
    It's really tough as the jobless rate for teenagers (aged 16 through 19) is 25 percent. But that doesn't mean you can't find ways to make money. Some teenagers turn a hobby into a business, like selling things on eBay. Where I live, it's been a great winter for high school kids who shovel driveways. If you put your mind to it, there are opportunities out there. But you may have an easier time making your own job rather than looking for someone else to hire you.

    Question from Dennis:
    I am trying to decide if I should take a job at McDonalds or collect unemployment. Since they both pay the same, what should I do?

    Answer from John:
    The point I think you're trying to make here - that jobless benefits discourage people from working - is the subject of much debate among economists and politicians every time the extended benefits come up for renewal.

    My personal opinion is that, while three may be cases of people collecting benefits who could get a job, that number is small. Most unemployed people want to work and can't find jobs. If they were simply kicking back and collecting benefits, why are there five unemployed workers for every job opening?

    Complete archive:

    If you have a question for our TODAY Money experts, submit it here.

    To sign up for an e-mail reminder for our next chat, click here.

    1 comment

    You take what ever job you can. Unemployment is not a time for vacation or free money. You take the job because it show future employers that you are a capable and able body. It also looks better on your job application and resume when you show no extended breaks in your work record.

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  • 27
    Jan
    2011
    3:41pm, EST

    John Schoen grades Obama's economic plan in State of the Union

    TODAY Money expert and msnbc.com senior writer John Schoen chatted live with TODAYshow.com readers on Monday afternoon about economic implications of the proposals in President Barack Obama's State of the Union speech.

    Here are two of his answers and a complete archive.

    Question from Tracy Bichl:
    How do you think President Obama scores on his plans to reduce the deficit as stated in his State of the Union speech?

    Answer from John:
    I’d give him a “Gentleman’s C.” It’s all well and good to promise to freeze “discretionary” spending. But that dodges most of the problem. If you take Social Security, Medicare, defense and interest on the debt off the table, you’re only looking at about 16 cents of every federal spending dollar. Without serious reform of the big entitlements – or higher taxes – it’s pretty much impossible tp balance the federal budget.

    Question from Melisa:
    Does President plan to address the fiscal element to the Healthcare Reform Bill? This Law will have the largest impact on our day to day lives and it is the Most fiscally irresponsible.

    Answer from John:
    One of the main reasons for tackling health care reform was the need to slow the growth of health care spending. I don’t think that’s fiscally irresponsible. Critics of the plan argue that the projections of the law’s impact have been irresponsible because of the way they account for costs and savings. I agree with that, but it’s nothing new. Government accounting and budget projections are notoriously screwy.

    What Obama seemed to be saying is that he wants to fix the problems that have been identified with the law instead of scrapping it and starting over. Given the urgency of cutting the growth of health spending, it doesn’t make sense to me to go back to square one. The law will likely continue to change in the coming years. But we can’t afford to do nothing.

    Complete archive:

     

    If you have a question for our TODAY Money experts, submit it here.

    To sign up for an e-mail reminder for our next chat, click here.

    1 comment

    Here's the real state of the union in five screenshots: http://viableopposition.blogspot.com/2011/01/real-state-of-union-in-five-screenshots.html

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  • 14
    Jan
    2011
    1:33pm, EST

    Schoen: Spike in job bias complaints may affect all workers

    John Schoen, TODAY Money expert and msnbc.com senior business writer, hosted a live Web chat on Friday, Jan. 14, about his story on how job bias complaints just hit a record high. Read the story here.

    "It may come a no surprise but in the worst job market since the Great Depression, a record number of fired workers are not going quietly," he wrote. "This week, the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission reported that it’s gotten more discrimination complaints in the latest year than at any time in its 45-year history. The agency cited a number of factors for the jump in claims, including greater diversity in the work force. But labor attorney that I spoke to said the brutal job market and dismal economy have also played a big role."

    Read below for a few more answers from John to readers’ questions. You can find the entire archive of the live chat below as well.

    Question from Rick:
    Is the uptick due to more job discrimination, or is it just that people are fighting harder to keep their jobs in this economy?

    John's answer:
    It's a little bit of both. The EEOC has also spent more money on outreach – hosting events to explain workers rights. And the commission has staffed up to handle more complaints -- last year it collected more than $400 million from employers in finds and settlements for job bias complaints. 

    Question from Edis:
    Will this impact the average worker? How does this affect me? 

    John's answer:
    The increase in complaints – and the beefed up staff at the EEOC – could mean that employers pay more attention to their hiring practices. That’s what the EEOC is there for. But I can’t say that managers will become more attuned to job bias overnight. If there were, we probably wouldn’t be seeing so many complaints filed. 

    The real solution is to get the economy moving again to create more jobs and get more people back to work. Unfortunately, the outlook there isn’t good. At the current pace it could be 2016 – or later – before job levels return to where they were before the recession.

    Read an archive of the full chat:

     

    If you have a question for our TODAY Money experts, submit it here.

    To sign up for an e-mail reminder for our next chat, click here.

    Comment

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  • 22
    Dec
    2010
    12:28am, EST

    Q&A with John Schoen on 2011's economic outlook

    TODAY Money expert and msnbc.com senior writer John Schoen chatted live with TODAYshow.com readers on Monday afternoon about the economic outlook for 2011.

    Here are two of his answers and a complete archive.

    Question from Cheddar: 
    Are we likely to see unemployment decreasing in 2011?

    John:
    Yes, but it's possible we'll see the jobless rate bump *up* a bit before it goes down.


    That's because of the way the number is calculated. If you're not looking for a job, you're not counted. So as the job market improves, people who had "given up" looking start will begin their searches, which puts them back in the official definition of the "unemployed" workforce.

    The improvement is going to be gradual though. The consensus of our panel is that the jobless rate will end 2011 at 9.2 percent.

    Question from Carol:
    Are we likely to see wages going up rather then down as I have noticed?

    John:
    The economists we talked to said they expect the wage trends of the past few years to continue. What that means is that if you're college-educated, you'll have a decent chance of find a job and see relatively good wage growth. The current jobless rate for college grads is less than 6 percent.

    For those at the other end of the education ladder, the outlook isn't nearly as good. The jobless rate is more than three times as high - and wages have largely stalled.

    So it's very hard to talk about "the" U.S. economy these days. From the perspective of workers and consumers, we really have two economies.

    Complete archive:

     

    If you have a question for our TODAY Money experts, submit it here.

    To sign up for an e-mail reminder for our next chat, click here.

     

    1 comment

    The impact of the Great Recession has affected American workers in vastly different ways.

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  • 5
    Nov
    2010
    2:49pm, EDT

    John Schoen in chat: Are massive layoffs over?

    TODAY Money expert John Schoen joined us for a live Web chat Friday morning about the economy after the Labor Department released it's monthly job numbers.

    Here are two of his answers and a complete archive.

    Question from Sara:
    Do you think we are done seeing massive layoffs?



    John's answer:
    It certainly looks that way. The big wave came when the bottom fell out of the housing and financial markets in 2007 and 2008. Companies shed jobs faster than they have in decades because the outlook was so grim. Since then, they’ve managed to keep up with demand by increasing productivity – squeezing more work out of the same number of workers. But there are limits to how much harder we can all work. That’s one of the good signs in this week’s data: the number of hours worked continues to go up. Which means some of that overtime may soon turn into full time jobs.

    Question from Greg:
    How come there is so little talk of destroyed consumer spending demand? Do you really believe that consumer spending will drive our economy once again in the next decade like it did before? Would you think that (spending by borrowing even more than they can afford) is a good idea for individuals or families alike? It seems like like the government wants people to just spend today and ignore their future well being to me. Please explain how the economy can get going with it being on the backs of consumers (who are ever increasing their debt load)?

    John's answer:
    Well, the economy can’t get back on its feet *without* the consumer. Consumer spending – though a bit lower as percentage of GDP than it was during the housing boom – is still about 2/3 of GDP. One important reason that consumer spending hasn’t cratered is that the government has extended unemployment benefits for up to 99 weeks. Those monthly checks usually don’t fully replace a lost paycheck. But they’re better than nothing. Consumer spending doesn’t need to do all the heavy lifting. Export growth is one area that shows promise – especially as the dollar has weakened. Business investment has been surging lately – as companies use record lowinterst rates to borrow and replace equipment they’ve been holding off replacing.

    If you have a question for our TODAY Money experts, submit it here.

    To sign up for an e-mail reminder for our next chat, click here.

    Comment

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