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    8
    Jul
    2012
    11:34am, EDT

    High rents, tight credit put many at the mercy of the market

    Jessica Rinaldi / Reuters

    World War II veteran Howard McGowan, 88, is facing a 50 percent rent hike on the one-bedroom apartment in Malden, Mass., he and his wife have shared for 25 years.

    By Michelle Conlin and Ilaina Jonas, Reuters

    One night last spring, David Hall returned home to his studio apartment outside Boston to learn that his monthly rent had spiked from $725 to $995.

    It would be much cheaper for the maintenance manager to buy a nearby starter house than to stay put. But his mortgage broker told him that while his credit score was good, it was not high enough to meet banks' tough standards, he said.

    "I know if I walk into a bank, they are just going to laugh at me," Hall says. "So I'm stuck."

    He is not alone.

    Five years after the housing bubble burst, the United States is in the midst of a housing affordability crisis. Home prices have fallen a third from their peaks, but many Americans cannot benefit because they cannot get a mortgage.

    With credit tight, many consumers have no choice but to rent. Others who can afford to buy are also renting, because they view real estate as a lousy investment. With this increased demand, rents in some cities have jumped by double-digit percentage rates.

    In the 12 months ended in May, rents rose 14 percent in San Francisco and 11 percent in San Jose, California, according to real estate data provider Zillow. Last year in Minneapolis, they spiked 11 percent even as home values sank 8 percent.

    Apartment rent sticker shock gets worse 

    People with lower incomes have long struggled to find affordable housing, but many in the middle class are now hurting, too.

    Most personal finance experts recommend allocating no more of 30 percent of family income to housing, but nearly 40 percent of Americans are paying more than a third, according to the U.S. Census Bureau's American Community Survey.

    In New York City, one-third of households are spending more than half their pay on rent.

    "We have falling incomes, rising rents and nothing but substantial upward pressure on those rents," says Chris Herbert, director of Harvard University's Joint Center for Housing Studies. "And nothing in the cards suggests it will turn around anytime soon."

    Today's housing market is a buyer's paradise.

    It is now cheaper to buy a home than it is to rent in virtually every major city in the United States, according to John Burns Real Estate Consulting.

    But for many in the renter class, buying even a modest home is impossible because financing is so hard to secure.

    Lending for home purchases hit a 12-year low of $404 billion last year, down from $1.4 trillion in 2006, according to trade publication Inside Mortgage Finance. That means mortgage credit is tighter than it was even before the housing boom.

    This year, lending is expected to drop even more, according to Inside Mortgage Finance.

    A recent Morgan Stanley research report states that the average credit score is 762 for a consumer securing a mortgage backed by government-sponsored enterprises like Fannie Mae . But 65 percent of Americans have scores below 750.

    In other words, a disproportionate number of mortgages are going to people with unusually good credit. A perfect score is 850, and anything below 660 is considered subprime.

    "Basically, access to credit for borrowers with less than spotless credit is severely limited," the Morgan Stanley report states. "A good chunk" of U.S. households are "cut off from mortgage credit on this count alone."

    For people who can get mortgages, rates are at their lowest levels in several generations. Add that to the cheap home prices, and houses are at their most affordable since at least 1970, when the National Association of Realtors began tracking this metric.

    Normally, high affordability translates into higher sales. And the housing market is showing some signs of recovery -- the S&P/Case Shiller index of home prices had its third consecutive monthly gain in April. Last week, the NAR said pending home sales had matched a two-year high in May.

    But any recovery has been tepid. The NAR said existing home sales had declined 1.5 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.55 million in May from 4.62 million in April. That is 34.2 percent above the July 2010 bottom of 3.39 million, but far short of the 5.5 million pace that the NAR considers healthy.

    "Home sales have just barely picked up from their cyclical lows, and that's because there are still constraints to borrowing," said Moody's Analytics economist Celia Chen.

    Part of the lender pullback has to do with the stringent regulations Washington put in place after the housing crash, says Michael Fratantoni, vice president of the Mortgage Bankers Association. These rules put more of the losses from bad mortgages onto lenders, instead of investors or government-sponsored enterprises.

    Then there is the climate of unstable home prices and a shaky labor market: "There's a risk that even a borrower with moderately good credit may fall behind," Fratantoni says.

    Consumers who cannot buy must rent, and that is where many Americans are feeling the pressure. A rent index from Zillow shows year-over-year gains for 70 percent of the U.S. metropolitan areas, while its home value index rose in only 7.3 percent.

    Only a few years ago, landlords in cities like San Francisco and New York were tossing in a month or two of free rent, sometimes with parking, to lure tenants into signing leases.

    Today, applicants are showing up at apartment viewings with copies of their unblemished credit reports and letters of recommendation from bosses and prominent friends, in the hopes of snatching up a place to rent.

    Equity Residential, one of the biggest apartment owners in the United States, has more renters with high credit scores than ever, Vice President of Operations David Santee said on an April conference call with analysts.

    Demand for apartments is also higher because many potential buyers in their 20s and 30s want to stay flexible - home ownership is not as attractive as it was to earlier generations.

    Still, plenty of people would prefer entry into the ownership class.

    Last spring Rosemary Wynder, a physician order specialist, found her rent shooting up. She decided to buy a house.

    But a bank glitch in February had caused one late car loan payment, dinging her credit score. The Utica, New York, resident has been unable to straighten out the mistake, and five banks have rejected her for a mortgage.

    "I've been crying," says Wynder. "I've been praying." 

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    532 comments

    Coming soon to a suburb near you?!? Shanty towns

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  • 27
    Jun
    2012
    3:49pm, EDT

    Chat transcript: Housing recovery is long way off

    Courtesy of Zillow

    By Eve Tahmincioglu

      For those of you lamenting the heydays of the housing market, it may be time to leave the past behind.

    It’s going to be a long time before we’re going to real-estate party like it’s 2005, according to real estate website Zillow’s chief economist Stan Humphries, who was on hand to take questions Wednesday during our live web chat on the housing market.

    One question he took from a reader named Bob seemed to be on more than one person’s mind.

    “Being in the middle class a.k.a. the new working poor, many of us felt better when our homes were worth more and some a lot more. Do you see the real estate market ever approaching the 2005/2006 price range?”

    To that, Humphries offered a real estate reality check:

    “In real terms, after considering inflation, it will be a considerable time (e.g., decades) before we reach those levels. Even in nominal terms, the prices you see on things everyday, we're likely looking at 10 to 20 years before some of the hardest hit markets return to peak levels.”

    But it wasn’t all bad news.

    Reader Charles asked: “Will the home values continue dropping?”

    Humphries answered:

    “Nationally we've had three months of increasing home values as of May. We've been expecting some modest declines nationally by year end but a lot of the larger markets are seeing stronger stabilization at this point than we'd previously expected.”

    But, he added, it “really depends on the market as real estate is, as always, super local. Markets like Atlanta and Chicago are still seeing some declines in home values while markets like Phoenix and Miami are seeing real price spikes.”

    You can see the entire Q&A with Humphries here:

     

    9 comments

    Yeah, and gasoline will be five bucks a gallon by this summer. Maybe he should go to the Zillow website and see how accurate his housing values are in my neighborhood. Their information is such a joke, it's useless.

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  • 21
    Jun
    2012
    9:35am, EDT

    More adults moving in with mom, dad or roommates

    Getty Images stock

    Shared households accounted for 18.7 percent of all U.S. households in 2010. That's up from 17 percent of all households in 2007, the Census Bureau said.

    By Allison Linn, NBC News

    More adults have been moving in with their families or seeking out roommates instead of creating a home of their own, and the most obvious culprit is the difficult economy.

    The number of shared households increased by 11.4 percent, to 22 million, between 2007 and 2010, the U.S. Census Bureau said in a report released Wednesday.

    Shared households accounted for 18.7 percent of all U.S. households in 2010. That’s up from 17 percent of all households in 2007, the Census Bureau said.

    A shared household includes any adult who is not in school and has moved in with a family member or other adult that they aren’t romantically involved with.

    Census Bureau researchers said they didn’t ask specifically why people were moving in with mom, dad or another roommate, but that the results suggest it was a way of coping with the weak economy.

    That’s what prompted Brad McGarr, now 26, to get a roommate.

    McGarr graduated from high school in 2004, landed a good job in the Phoenix area and was soon settled into a nice apartment of his own.

    Then he lost his job in 2009, and was financially devastated by a long stint of unemployment. He lived with family for a while and then landed a job as a technical support specialist in the Denver area. Between the high cost of living and the toll his unemployment stint took, he felt like he had no choice but to get a roommate.

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    McGarr said sharing the rent helped him to get back on his feet, financially. A few months ago, he moved out of the roommate situation and in with his girlfriend. He said it feels like he’s restarting after the devastation of the recession.

    “I think it’s starting to get to the point where I’m having more of a normal adult life,” he said.

    Many people in their twenties and thirties are dealing with those kinds of setbacks.

    Nearly half of the adults who moved into someone else’s house between 2007 and 2010 were 25 to 34 years old, the Census researchers found. About 10 million people in that age were living in someone else’s house in 2010, up from 8.5 million in 2007.

    That’s an age when people are typically starting out in their adult life, finding a place of their own or getting married and starting a family. Instead, economists say many are hobbled by the tight job market and student loan debt. Sharing a house is a symptom of those problems.

    “People are living at home because either they’re underemployed or they’re unemployed, and that’s because times are tough,” said Patrick Newport, U.S. economist with IHS Global Insight.

    Many people of that age appear to be moving back in with mom and dad. A separate report from Pew Research found that more than two in 10 people in that age range were living in a multigenerational household. Pew referred to them as the “boomerang generation” because they’re coming back to the family home.

    The fact that more people are sharing a home rather than striking out on their own is more bad news for the beleaguered housing market, which is still struggling from the effect of the massive housing bust. Newport expects it to have a ripple effect on the housing sector for quite some time.

    Still, he said some of the money people aren’t spending on housing is likely being diverted to other parts of the economy, if they are drawing a paycheck at all.

    “Instead of spending their money on rent or on a mortgage, they’ll buy computers or they’ll pay off their bills,” he said.

    For an increasing number of young graduates, the post-college road is leading right back to their parents' front door. Sally Koslow, author of "Slouching Toward Adulthood: Observations from the Not-So-Empty Nest," and psychologist Dale Atkins discuss what is contributing to this phenomenon, and whether it's healthy for parents and children.

    More money and business news:

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    127 comments

    If housing costs weren't so outrageously high, this wouldn't be happening

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  • 23
    May
    2012
    4:52pm, EDT

    One in three mortgage holders still underwater

    Zillow

    Click above to see a larger, more readable image.

    By John W. Schoen, NBC News

    Got that sinking feeling? Amid signs that the U.S. housing market is finally rising from a long slumber, real estate Web site Zillow reports that homeowners are still under water.

    Nearly 16 million homeowners owed more on their mortgages than their home was worth in the first quarter, or nearly one-third of U.S. homeowners with mortgages. That’s a $1.2 trillion hole in the collective home equity of American households.

    Despite the temptation to just walk away and mail back the keys, nine of 10 underwater borrowers are making their mortgage and home loan payments on time. Only 10 percent are more than 90 days delinquent.

    Still, “negative equity” will continue to weigh on the housing market – and the broader economy – because it sidelines so many potential home buyers. It also puts millions of owners at greater risk of losing their home if the economic recovery stalls, according to Zillow’s chief economist, Stan Humphries.

    “If economic growth slows and unemployment rises, more homeowners will be unable to make timely mortgage payments, increasing delinquency rates and eventually foreclosures," he said.

    For now, the recent bottoming out in home prices seems to be stabilizing the impact of negative equity; the number of underwater homeowners held steady from the fourth quarter of last year and fell slightly from a year ago.

    Zillow map: Where homes are underwater

    Real estate market conditions vary widely across the country, as does the depth of trouble homeowners find themselves in. Nearly 40 percent of homeowners with a mortgage owe between 1 and 20 percent more than their home is worth. But 15 percent – approximately 2.4 million – owe more than double their home’s market value.

    Nevada homeowners have been hardest hit, where two-thirds of all homeowners with a mortgage are underwater. Arizona, with 52 percent, Georgia (46.8 percent), Florida (46.3 percent) and Michigan (41.7 percent) also have high percentages of homeowners with negative equity.

    753 comments

    Real Estate crashed under which administration? Who got bailed out? The Banks or the people?

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  • 14
    Sep
    2011
    2:35pm, EDT

    Epperson: Renting could be a good option

    Today Money financial expert Sharon Epperson joined us for a live Web chat Wednesday to answer your questions.

    Here’s one of her answers to questions from the live chat. (See below for the full Q&A and video of Sharon’s TV appearance this morning.)

    Darla asked:

    “Hi Sharon. Me and my husband would like to downsize on our home, but our credit isn't good so we probably aren't in a position to purchase another home. We'd like to get something less expensive but see no way out. Any advice you can provide? Thanks!”

    Sharon replied:

    “Why don't you rent? Take the headache of home ownership (lawn care, home repairs and unexpected emergencies) off the table and focus on rebuilding your credit and building your savings.”

    Here’s the full chat archive and Sharon’s TV appearance:

     

     

    If you have a question for our TODAY Money experts, submit it here.

    To sign up for an e-mail reminder for our next chat, click here.

     

    Comment

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  • 6
    Jul
    2011
    12:15pm, EDT

    Landscape architects see upside to housing crash

    CNBC's Diana Olick

    As the housing market remains week, more Americans are putting a lot of money in their backyards. Some are adding outdoor living spaces.

    Landscape architects in many parts of the country are benefitting from the real estate crash.

    Are you spending more time and money in your backyard this summer?

    Comment

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  • 2
    Jun
    2011
    7:23am, EDT

    Bad housing market hurting some people's job prospects

    CNBC's Diana Olick reports lower home prices are keeping people stuck in their houses, and that prevents them from moving on to find better job prospects.

    By Allison Linn, NBC News

     

    Here's a Catch-22 of the weak economy: You finally land that job you need desperately, only to find that you can't sell your home to move. CNBC reported Wednesday that many Americans are finding themselves stuck in their homes or forced to rent instead of sell.

    1 comment

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  • 18
    Feb
    2011
    8:16am, EST

    Detroit to cops: Buy a house for $1,000 down

    Paul Sancya / AP

    So many homes in Detroit are vacant that wrecking crews have been knocking them down.

    By Laura T. Coffey, TODAY

    Bringing a blighted, crime-ridden neighborhood back to life is never easy. This challenge has been tackled in Baltimore, Boston, Cleveland, Philadelphia and elsewhere, and now Detroit is in the spotlight for its dramatic urban-resurrection efforts.

    Detroit Mayor David Bing this month unveiled a program aimed at enticing police officers to relocate from the suburbs to the city they serve. Dubbed Project 14, the program allows officers to buy vacant houses -- many of which were abandoned after foreclosures -- with down payments of only $1,000.

    The historic homes being made available in Detroit’s Boston-Edison and East English Village neighborhoods are appraised at $40,000 to $80,000. Monthly mortgage payments, including principal, interest, taxes and insurance, are expected to fall in the $500 to $1,000 range.

    A major benefit of the program, beyond the low payments, is that officers could be eligible for up to $150,000 in federal grant money to renovate the homes. Officials hope Project 14 will provide a double-whammy of recovery by fixing up houses that sorely need help and reducing crime because more police will be present within city limits.

    Another Detroit program, Live Midtown, is offering incentives to encourage college graduates to move closer to the places where they work. Those incentives include $2,500 cash toward apartment costs for new renters and up to $25,000 in forgivable loans for new home buyers.

    Do you think these kinds of incentives are a good idea? More importantly, do you think they will work?

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  • 17
    Dec
    2010
    2:22pm, EST

    Does 'Dr. Doom' think housing prices have bottomed?

    RoubiniNouriel Roubini, the New York University economist who gained renown for accurately calling the housing bubble, has purchased a condominium in Manhattan worth $5.5 million, according to a Bloomberg News report.

    Public records show Roubini took out a $2.99 million mortgage to buy the condo on East First Street, according to Bloomberg. The apartment is reportedly a 3,700-square-foot triplex penthouse.

    Roubini was dubbed "Dr. Doom" because of his many pessimistic forecasts about the global economy. He recently said there is still a risk the U.S. economy could slide back into recession, Bloomberg notes, and last month he said another "disaster" will happen if U.S. house prices fall again and prime mortgage defaults increase.

    Does Roubini now think housing prices have bottomed? Bloomberg reached Roubini on his cell phone Friday, but he declined to comment on the condo purchase.

    Perhaps the economist has succumbed to "frugal fatigue" -- a term that refers to when consumers, beaten down by the "Great Recession" become tired of fretting about every expense and treat themselves again.

    The condo's listing by Halstead Property broker Richard Orenstein certainly makes the home sound alluring.

    "Connected by a custom cantilevered steel staircase, each level of this amazing home offers something unique and unforgettable," the listing reads. "On the first floor, you'll find a massive living/dining area bathed in southern light with 11-foot beamed ceilings, exposed brick walls, a wood-burning fireplace, and light from a 50-foot expanse of oversized windows."

    30 comments

    "Frugal Fatigue?" Is that a new euphemism for being tired of living within your means?

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  • 29
    Oct
    2010
    4:27pm, EDT

    Good Graph Friday: Foreclosure sales on the rise

    The monthly pace of "distressed" home sales is on the way up.

    If you're wondering why the housing market is still stuck in its worst slide in six decades, this chart pretty much says it all.

    Though the market peaked in 2006, the toxic mortgages that have created this mess had two- and three-year fuses before they began exploding in 2007. Those interest rate "resets" created the initial wave of foreclosures and helped push the economy into recession.

    As the recession took hold and unemployment soared, families with perfectly good mortgages - who had lost their paychecks - began losing their homes in bigger numbers.

    The pace eased up somewhat in late 2008, in large part as lenders put foreclosures on hold to see what kind of relief the government would come up with. But neither the government's programs nor the lending industry's voluntary "solutions" have done anything to bend the curve lower.

    Unless that changes, expect the housing market to continue to struggle under the weight of millions more "distressed" sales as banks repossess homes and put them back on the already-weak market. Some 3.5 million foreclosed homes have been sold since 2003, and there are at least that many more expected. One estimate puts the number of homes at risk at 11 million - or about one-fifth of U.S. home mortgages.

    10 comments

    Don't worry guys... the republicans have it all under control.... "let the market take care of itself"..... so what then?.... the guys with cash buy all the houses at 50% off the price (since the banks would rather than do that than a principal reduction)... and sell it off to the poor "rich tax bre …

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  • 25
    Oct
    2010
    2:26pm, EDT

    Tax breaks get a harsher look

    To bring the deficit down, your own tax bill might need to go up.

    The Wall Street Journal reports that a federal commission charged with finding ways to reduce the deficit is considering whether to tinker with popular tax breaks such as the mortgage interest deduction and child tax credits.

    All told, experts say tax credits such as those add up to about $1 trillion a year. That makes them an extremely attractive target as the commission considers ways to reduce the hulking deficit. The aim of the deficit commission, a bipartisan committee created by President Obama, is to balance the budget by 2015.

    But voters love those tax credits, and they can lead to the type of real savings that make it affordable for a mother to work, a family to have health insurance or a couple to decide whether or not to buy a house.

    "These [tax credits] are very popular. They have a big effect on people's lives. You can afford the house instead of not being able to afford it," said Roberton Williams, a senior fellow at the Tax Policy Center, a think tank.

    That's why Williams thinks there's virtually no chance House and Senate leaders would consider doing away with mortgage interest deductions completely. Still, he does think there's a chance that lawmakers would be open to modifying those tax breaks to save the government some money.

    The current housing and foreclosure crisis, not to mention the fragile economy, means any change to mortgage interest deductions could be risky. It could cause home prices to drop more, and it could make it harder for first-time home buyers to afford a home.

    "On the one hand we don't want to do things in the short run that will squelch the economic recovery," Williams said. "At the same time we don't want to tie our hands in ways that will make it harder to get our fiscal house back in order in two or three years."

    71 comments

    Do away with the earned income credit and save millions.. I have said it again and again, people who can work and get a refund of all they paid in then get earned income credit up to 10000 -- need to be cut off.. I pay taxes and have never qualified for earned income because I made too much and only …

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  • 25
    Oct
    2010
    12:25pm, EDT

    Home sales data: lipstick on a pig

    “Been down so long, it looks like up to me,” sang Memphis bluesman Walter “Furry” Lewis.

    The song was recorded in 1928, but Lewis may as well have been singing about the U.S. housing market circa 2010.

    The headline on the latest monthly sales report for existing homes looks pretty good: traffic in September picked up a full 10 percent from the month before. On a percentage basis, the gain was spectacular – the biggest monthly increase in 28 years.

    But that’s about as far as the good news goes.

    The upturn – which still leaves home sales at levels 19 percent lower than a year ago – represents a snapback after a steep plunge this summer. After the government’s temporary tax credit for first time home buyers expired in June, existing home sales fell to the lowest level in 16 years.

    With those tax credits gone, the housing market is again struggling against the headwinds of high unemployment, falling prices, a glut of unsold homes and a wave of foreclosures that shows little sign of letting up. Recent disclosures by lenders of a paperwork quagmire, along with an investigation by all 50 states into foreclosure practices, have further clouded the outlook.

    Despite the September rebound, the annual rate of existing home sales was 36 percent below the peak pace in 2005.

    “We doubt that (the September increase) is the start of a real recovery, which may now be further delayed by the foreclosure crisis,” said Paul Dales, U.S. economist at Capital Economics, in a note to clients Monday.

    While sales bounced off summer lows, home prices have been sliding since June. Last month, the median sale price was $171,700, down 2.4 percent from the same month year ago. That’s six percent lower than June, 2010. With foreclosed houses weighing on prices, and millions more in the foreclosure pipeline, the price slump will likely continue, according to Dales.

    “Prices will remain under downward pressure until demand moves back in line with supply," he wrote. "That's going to take years, rather than months."

    81 comments

    "Prices will remain under downward pressure until demand moves back in line with supply," he wrote. "That's going to take years, rather than months." How is demand going to move magically back in line with supply before prices return to their historical norms? Prices are still too high, and the hou …

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Eve Tahmincioglu

Eve Tahmincioglu writes the popular "Your Career" column for MSNBC.com and her blog www.careerdiva.net, covers a broad range of career and labor issues. Her blog was named one of the top ten career blogs by Forbes, US News & World Report and CareerBuilder. Last year, she was named one of the top online business columnist in the country by the Society of American Business Editors and Writers. She's al …

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Allison Linn is the lead writer for TODAY Money's Life Inc. She also writes about the economy, consumer issues, personal finance, employment and workplace issues for NBCNews.com. Linn joined NBCNews.com from The Associated Press, where she mainly covered Microsoft. Previously, she worked at newspapers in Colorado, Washington and Oregon. She also spent nearly two years as a reporter in Germany.

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John W. Schoen

John W. Schoen has reported and written about business and financial news for more than 30 years. He began his career as a newspaper reporter and editor in Connecticut, moving to Dow Jones as radio newscaster and writer for The Wall Street Journal. As a reporter for the CBS Radio Network and public radio's Marketplace, he covered Wall Street's insider trading scandals and the Crash of '87. He joined CNBC several months before it went on the air i …

Laura T. Coffey

Laura T. Coffey is a writer, editor and producer for TODAY.com. A journalist with 24 years of experience, she also has written and edited for the Seattle Post-Intelligencer, The San Diego Union-Tribune, The Prague Post in the Czech Republic, the Seattle Daily Journal of Commerce, the Peninsula Clarion in Alaska and the St. Petersburg Times in Florida. She wrote a column called “10 Tips for Keeping Your Money in Your Wallet” for msnbc. …

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