What consumers can expect in 2013

I don’t have a crystal ball, but I am in contact with a lot of experts in consumer protection, marketing and fraud prevention. Based on information provided by these trusted sources, here are some predictions about what you can expect in 2013.

Anticipated price hikes
The U.S. Department of Agriculture predicts grocery bills will rise 3 to 4 percent in 2013. Higher feed costs will continue to push up prices for animal-based products, especially dairy. In its Food Price Outlook Report, USDA noted that inflation should be “above the historical average” for cereals and bakery products.

Banks will keep looking for ways to raise revenue without inciting customer backlash. This could mean higher overdraft fees and charges for using an out-of-network ATM. It could also mean higher minimum balances to avoid a monthly service charge.

 “We’ll continue to see banks emphasize customer relationships, rewarding those customers that have more accounts, bigger balances, or other products and services by waiving checking account fees,” said Greg McBride, senior financial analyst at Bankrate.com.

Good news for home buyers and home builders: Bankrate expects mortgage rates to remain low.

“The Fed is aggressively buying bonds with the goal of keeping mortgage rates low,” McBride explained. “Because of this, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate should stay below 4 percent for much of the year – even if the economy continues to improve.”

The editors at dealnews.com predict a number of things will be more expensive in 2013. These include: smartphones and some other electronics, cars and many luxury goods.

Dealnews also expects higher shipping costs. It predicts a jump of 4.5 to 4.9 percent from both UPS and FedEx. This could seriously hurt small businesses and people who sell things on the Internet. It might also affect which orders qualify for “free shipping” at some online stores.

And here’s a surprising one: Dealnews says copper prices could rise. That would have a ripple effect, because copper is used in all sorts of consumer products: wire, pots and residential water pipes. It’s also needed for industrial equipment that brews beer, distills liquor and makes candy.

On the bright side: Gasoline prices should continue their slow decline, barring unforeseen circumstances. The U.S. Energy Information Administration expects retail prices for regular-grade gasoline to average $3.43 a gallon in 2013. That would be down from this year’s average of $3.63.

More consumer-friendly regulations
The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) went after unfair practices in the financial marketplace with gusto in 2012. That is sure to continue in the New Year.

My best guess is that we’ll see new regulations proposed for payday loans, prepaid cards and credit reporting agencies. The CFPB is already investigating complaints about errors in credit reports and the difficulty or sometimes inability to have them corrected.

As of Jan. 2, the agency will regulate the country’s large debt collectors, an industry that has been widely criticized for harassment, deception and other illegal tactics to get people to pay – whether they owe the debt or not, in some cases.

“Millions of consumers are affected by debt collection, and we want to make sure they are treated fairly,” CFPB director Richard Cordray said in a statement.

I wouldn’t be surprised to see some civil penalties levied and new rules proposed to prevent abusive collection tactics.

New and changing digital threats
Cybercriminals are sure to step-up their game again in 2013. In a new report, Sophos (the giant digital security company), predicts businesses will be hit with more malware attacks that give the intruders “long-term, high impact access” to those companies.

Digital extortion should increase with more ransomware malware attacks.  (See ConsumerMan: Latest ‘ransomware’ attacks are scarily sophisticated.) This new generation of malicious software can encrypt the data on your hard drive and hold it for ransom. It’s often exceptionally hard or impossible to reverse the damage. This makes it critical to back-up your data on a daily basis.

Mobile devices, with GPS location, social media apps and new technology (such as near field communication) will give cybercriminals new opportunities to compromise your security and privacy.

“This trend is identifiable not just for mobile devices, but computing in general,” the Sophos report warns. “In the coming year, watch for new examples of attacks built on these technologies.”

Men, millennials in the grocery store
Men have become more comfortable in the kitchen and more active in planning meals and food shopping. A survey by Cone Communications found that more dads than moms (52 percent compared to 46 percent) plan meals for the week ahead.

Industry analyst Phil Lempert, who runs the website SupermarketGuru, predicts grocery stores will focus more on the male shopper this year and in the future.

“Some supermarkets are experimenting with ‘man aisles’ – locations in the store that feature male-oriented foods and other products to make shopping and impulse buying more targeted,” he said.

Lempert also expects supermarkets and food companies to go after the millennial shoppers (those born between 1982 and 2001) who want flavorful and ethnically diverse food that is also affordable. By 2020, millennials will represent about 20 percent of the population and compared to the general population, they’re expected to have twice the buying power for food they eat at home.

“Millennials are deal seekers,” Lempert pointed out. “They are much more focused on finding the lowest price over brand loyalty.”

Herb Weisbaum is The ConsumerMan. Follow him on Facebook and Twitter or visit The ConsumerMan website.

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Discuss this post

Sounds very much like this past year.

Every thing goes up but your base pay. Don't need a crystal ball to figure that out.

  • 10 votes
Reply#1 - Mon Dec 31, 2012 8:46 AM EST

My rents gone down because people keep moving out and the finally figured out why.

    #1.1 - Mon Dec 31, 2012 4:55 PM EST

    Nor do we need consumerman....

      #1.2 - Wed Jan 2, 2013 7:24 AM EST
      Reply

      Also expect tax hikes due to the failure of the current administration to get a fiscal deal on the table. The result in '13 will be less money in your paychecks, less purchasing power. You'll pull back spending to save what you can and we will fall back into a recession.

      Happy new year.

      • 6 votes
      Reply#2 - Mon Dec 31, 2012 10:34 AM EST

      No, I don't blame the administration. I blame all of Congress and both political parties. It's way bigger than the President and his administration.

        #2.1 - Tue Jan 1, 2013 7:25 PM EST

        Thanks Obummer. : (

        • 1 vote
        #2.2 - Wed Jan 2, 2013 10:32 AM EST
        Reply

        Most people realize that unless Obama is jailed for political corruption, they will be in trouble. He will tax, regulate, and take away their freedoms. Obama is a Chicago Democrat, the most politically corrupt group in the US according to the Univ of Illinois.

        • 4 votes
        Reply#3 - Mon Dec 31, 2012 11:53 AM EST

        Because he can do any of that without Congress. lrn2americangov

          #3.1 - Tue Jan 1, 2013 7:27 PM EST

          Obama's plan is to bankrupt America.

          • 1 vote
          #3.2 - Wed Jan 2, 2013 10:33 AM EST
          Reply

          Taxes are going up for all income levels. Prices are going up. Very little will happen with ObamaCare this year. Watch out for next year.

          • 2 votes
          Reply#4 - Mon Dec 31, 2012 12:41 PM EST

          Congress got a RAISE!?!? Great golly Obama!

          • 1 vote
          #4.1 - Wed Jan 2, 2013 10:38 AM EST
          Reply
          NoCommi'sDeleted

          we’ll see new regulations proposed for payday loans

          Regulate the arm twisters out of business. The whole industry is sliding by on the maximum interest regulations by calling their profits 'fees' and not interest. Of course they charge interest too.

            Reply#7 - Mon Dec 31, 2012 1:22 PM EST

            Why? So people can't get a loan when they need it?

            You would have loved it in USSR!

            • 1 vote
            #7.1 - Mon Dec 31, 2012 1:47 PM EST

            People who "need" loans generally can't handle money, so they won't get loans. For those who might qualify, 2.8-3% interest is not enough to motivate lenders; they can make more playing the markets.

            The smart people are pay off their debt not creating more debt.

              #7.2 - Wed Jan 2, 2013 7:24 AM EST
              Reply

              Don't need a crystal ball to know prices will go up on everything, but paychecks will continue to get smaller. It's no secret, because it has been doing this for the last 30 years.

              • 4 votes
              Reply#8 - Mon Dec 31, 2012 1:34 PM EST

              No... can't be. Our dear Obama and Ben say there is no inflation!

              • 1 vote
              Reply#9 - Mon Dec 31, 2012 1:46 PM EST

              Hey you repubs you lost. Quit it!! You're going to lose more in 2014 and that's a fact.

                Reply#10 - Mon Dec 31, 2012 2:41 PM EST

                Ed-1883977

                Hey you repubs you lost. Quit it!! You're going to lose more in 2014 and that's a fact.

                Has nothing to do with being a sore loser. Has to do with numbers that simply don't add up. Regardless of which party.

                I love the "you lost get over it" comments that I read everyday on these discussion boards. They are always posted by the emotional NOT educated voters. ((You should be reading this out loud in a robot (Obamabot) voice))

                • 2 votes
                #10.1 - Mon Dec 31, 2012 4:07 PM EST

                Ed...find something useful to say.

                • 1 vote
                #10.2 - Mon Dec 31, 2012 7:40 PM EST
                Reply

                ... To no longer be considered consumers, but rather, beggars.

                • 1 vote
                Reply#11 - Mon Dec 31, 2012 2:52 PM EST

                What about the pay increase for congress, that slipped by without any comment and who pays those salaries.

                • 1 vote
                Reply#12 - Mon Dec 31, 2012 4:06 PM EST

                Regardless the national debt, as long as the Fed keep printing money out of thin air backed by molecules...duh...Inflation then deflation will rule. Just came back from grocery store and I'm scratching my head as to where $209 went? And we bought a lot of two-for-ones, 50% off stuff. No steaks/roast/deli cakes...just the basics. Think it's bad now... stay tuned.

                • 2 votes
                Reply#13 - Mon Dec 31, 2012 4:25 PM EST

                On the bright side: Gasoline prices should continue their slow decline, barring unforeseen circumstances

                Funny thing is there is another report on MSNBC today that cites gasoline prices will be going up quite a bit very soon. Which is it MSNBC? Seems like the left hand doesn't know what the right hand is doing at MSNBC! At least get your lies straight!

                "gas prices should be taking off soon!"

                http://money.msn.com/now/post.aspx?post=3b9d64a4-cf21-4299-a157-0df7fd321d04

                • 1 vote
                Reply#14 - Mon Dec 31, 2012 5:00 PM EST

                My prediction, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) if not chained will once again provide a less than 2% cost of living raise while the increase in health insurance premiums will jump another 33% while the poor get poorer and the rich get richer.

                • 1 vote
                Reply#15 - Mon Dec 31, 2012 5:37 PM EST

                Well cut the subsidies and use our own products. Don't have to import then. Jobs for us. Export the extra we have.

                Stop paying me not to grow poducts.

                • 1 vote
                Reply#16 - Mon Dec 31, 2012 6:35 PM EST

                I quit being loyal to brands about 30 years ago. Loyalty is a 2 way street.

                  Reply#17 - Tue Jan 1, 2013 1:17 PM EST

                  Copper is going up? Copper 1 conductor wire is already ridiculously priced as it is!

                    Reply#18 - Tue Jan 1, 2013 7:28 PM EST

                    Increased prices.

                    Decreased buying power.

                    More crap from China will be found to contain any number of carcinogenic substances.

                    More businesses that depend on 'discretionary spending' will fail.

                    Thrift stores will increase dramatically in popularity.

                      Reply#19 - Tue Jan 1, 2013 8:34 PM EST

                      Sounds like Jimmy Carter stagflation to me. No real stimulating the economy with all this more government mantra. Good job America.

                        Reply#20 - Wed Jan 2, 2013 7:15 AM EST

                        new technology ... will give cybercriminals new opportunities to compromise your security and privacy

                        Solution: Remove GPS and other tracking code from all devices.

                          Reply#21 - Wed Jan 2, 2013 7:21 AM EST

                          Sometimes the only solution to a problem is keeping your money in your wallet and just stop spending. The more you buy, the more it becomes your problem. 99% of the time you really can do without.

                            Reply#22 - Wed Jan 2, 2013 9:11 AM EST
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